Santorum drops out; Romney in trouble

April 10, 2012

Well, it is official:  Santorum has dropped out of the 2012 Republican primary race, and Romney stands alone as the only candidate to have won a significant number of state contests.  Although Gingrich and Paul are still technically in the race, there’s no way they can win outside of an incredibly rare and unlikely brokered convention.

However, this victory for Romney is a Pyrrhic one:  every nationwide and state-by-state poll shows Obama winning in November by a comfortable margin.  According to the state electoral tracker at Real Clear Politics, Obama already has the 271 electoral votes required to win re-election.  Even if Romney could carry every single toss up state, it wouldn’t matter in the slightest.

The big shift in this election may be looked back on as the time when the evangelical-led, socially conservative movement finally died.  Before birth control resurfaced, Romney had a slim margin among women voters.  After the ridiculous attack from the right against womens’ reproductive rights, this marginal support turned in to a 2:1 landslide in Obama’s favor.

 

Fingers crossed for Ron Paul in Iowa

The first primary event kicks off later today, and the polls seem to indicate that the race has come down to Romney and Ron Paul.

The big money is on Romney, but my hope is on Ron Paul because he’s the only candidate:

  • Against the Patriot Act
  • Against SOPA
  • Against the never-ending wars and imperial foreign policy
  • Against the war on drugs
  • and in favor of human rights, in general
There are plenty of issues where I disagree with Ron Paul, but Obama has proven to be on the wrong side of these very important policies.  Not only is it a matter of freedom, but for many it is a matter of life and death…
Go Ron Paul!

Palin wants to run, ensure Obama re-election

Little could do more to ensure the re-election of President Obama than Sarah Palin taking a serious attempt at the office in 2012.  While she does have the support of a dedicated following, her appeal is too limited to offer a real chance at a national victory.  Even if she wins some large southern states, none of them really has the population to overcome the absolute losses in California, New England, and the Pacific Northwest.  Even in the South and Midwest, many moderates would be unlikely to throw their support behind this divisive character.

Frankly, a lot of us think she’s an idiot.  And that doesn’t speak well for her supporters.